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16 Mar 2015
Fed might postpone liftoff to September - BAML
FXStreet (Barcelona) - The Team at BofA-Merrill Lynch, expects the Fed speech to be devoid of any strong dovish tilt, and further forecast the rate hike to be postponed until September.
Key Quotes
“Fed watchers and market participants broadly anticipate that the Fed will remove its “patient” language when the FOMC statement is released at 2 PM EDT on March 18. The question for the markets is how does the Fed couch that language change?”
“We expect the Fed to use care as it takes out “patient.” In particular, guidance is likely to shift from the timing of liftoff to the pace of rate hikes.”
“We look for two key messages in Yellen’s press conference remarks (starting at 2:30 PM on Wednesday), that may also appear in the statement itself: (1) the Fed plans a gradual tightening cycle — notably more gradual than in the past — and (2) policy will remain highly accommodative even as rate hikes are underway.”
“While recent Fed speeches suggest a strong dovish tilt is unlikely at this meeting, we still expect the Committee will end up postponing liftoff until September at the earliest.”
Key Quotes
“Fed watchers and market participants broadly anticipate that the Fed will remove its “patient” language when the FOMC statement is released at 2 PM EDT on March 18. The question for the markets is how does the Fed couch that language change?”
“We expect the Fed to use care as it takes out “patient.” In particular, guidance is likely to shift from the timing of liftoff to the pace of rate hikes.”
“We look for two key messages in Yellen’s press conference remarks (starting at 2:30 PM on Wednesday), that may also appear in the statement itself: (1) the Fed plans a gradual tightening cycle — notably more gradual than in the past — and (2) policy will remain highly accommodative even as rate hikes are underway.”
“While recent Fed speeches suggest a strong dovish tilt is unlikely at this meeting, we still expect the Committee will end up postponing liftoff until September at the earliest.”